Fenyx is currently in beta. It runs on the Polkadot Hub test network only, with test USDC.
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  1. 44 daysWill ETH be at or above $3,000 at 00:00 UTC on 30 Nov 2026?No72¢
    Trading·closes in 44 days
  2. 53 daysFed funds target upper bound after the December 2026 FOMC meeting?3.50%95¢
    Trading·closes in 53 days
  3. 54 daysWill US CPI inflation (YoY) for November 2026 be 3.0% or higher?No73¢
    Trading·closes in 54 days
  4. 75 daysWill DOT be at or above $2 at 00:00 UTC on 31 Dec 2026?Yes57¢
    Trading·closes in 75 days
  5. 75 daysWill BTC be at or above $105,000 at 00:00 UTC on 31 Dec 2026?Yes51¢
    Trading·closes in 75 days
  6. 90 daysWill 2026 be the hottest year on record globally?No70¢
    Trading·closes in 90 days
  7. 148 daysWhich film wins Best Picture at the 2027 Academy Awards?Contender D70¢
    Trading·closes in 148 days
  8. 154 daysWho wins the 2027 Six Nations Championship?Wales47¢
    Trading·closes in 154 days
  9. 165 daysWill Polkadot Hub pass 1 million active EVM accounts by 31 March 2027?Yes62¢
    Trading·closes in 165 days
  10. 210 daysWhich country wins Eurovision 2027?France99¢
    Trading·closes in 210 days
  11. 227 daysWho wins the 2027 NBA Finals?Thunder25¢
    Trading·closes in 227 days
  12. 256 daysWhen does JAM go live on Polkadot mainnet?H1 202759¢
    Trading·closes in 256 days

My Feed on Fenyx: Forecast markets for Polkadot

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Real Time

  1. Polkadot

    Will Polkadot Hub pass 1 million active EVM accounts by 31 March 2027?

    Yes steady at 62¢ on $70 volume.

    Polkadot·$122k vol·Closes in 165 days
    Yes62¢0.0
    No38¢0.0
    Trading·closes in 165 days
  2. Crypto

    Will BTC be at or above $105,000 at 00:00 UTC on 31 Dec 2026?

    Yes steady at 51¢ on $59 volume.

    Crypto·$150k vol·Closes in 75 days
    Yes51¢0.0
    No49¢0.0
    Trading·closes in 75 days
  3. Polkadot

    When does JAM go live on Polkadot mainnet?

    H1 2027 steady at 59¢ on $23 volume.

    Polkadot·$123k vol·Closes in 256 days
    H1 202759¢0.0
    Q4 202616¢0.0
    +2 more outcomes
    Trading·closes in 256 days
  4. Crypto

    What will BTC/USD be on 15 Oct 2026, 13:20 UTC?

    Answered $80k to $80.5k after 1 rounds of bonds. Final in 17h 27m unless challenged.

    Crypto·$20 vol·Challenge window
    Below $80k34¢
    $80k to $80.5k34¢
    +1 more outcomes
    Challenge window·17h 27m left

Most Popular

  1. 1Will ETH be at or above $3,000 at 00:00 UTC on 30 Nov 2026?No 72¢$242 today
  2. 2Will Polkadot Hub pass 1 million active EVM accounts by 31 March 2027?Yes 62¢$70 today
  3. 3Will BTC be at or above $105,000 at 00:00 UTC on 31 Dec 2026?Yes 51¢$59 today
  4. 4When does JAM go live on Polkadot mainnet?H1 2027 59¢$23 today
  5. 5Which country wins Eurovision 2027?France 99¢$0 today
  6. 6Will 2026 be the hottest year on record globally?No 70¢$0 today
  1. Crypto

    What will ETH/USD be on 16 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC?

    Answered Below $60k after 1 rounds of bonds. Final in 28h 48m unless challenged.

    Crypto·$0 vol·Challenge window
    Below $60k33¢
    $60k to $70k33¢
    +1 more outcomes
    Challenge window·28h 48m left
  2. Crypto

    Will DOT be at or above $2 at 00:00 UTC on 31 Dec 2026?

    Yes steady at 57¢ on $0 volume.

    Crypto·$116k vol·Closes in 75 days
    Yes57¢0.0
    No43¢0.0
    Trading·closes in 75 days
  3. Polkadot

    Will Polkadot Hub DeFi TVL exceed $500M at the end of Q3 2026?

    Bonds hit the arbitration threshold. The arbitrator will rule.

    Polkadot·$3.6k vol·Arbitration
    No60¢
    Yes40¢
    In arbitration
  4. Crypto

    Will DOT be at or above $1.2 at 2026-10-14 05:31 UTC?

    Trading has closed. Waiting for the first answer on Reality.eth.

    Crypto·$1.1k vol·Awaiting answer
    No54¢
    Yes46¢
    Awaiting answer·after close
  5. Crypto

    Will BTC be at or above $83,500 at 2026-10-14 05:31 UTC?

    Trading has closed. Waiting for the first answer on Reality.eth.

    Crypto·$1.5k vol·Awaiting answer
    Yes54¢
    No46¢
    Awaiting answer·after close
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