TradingWeather
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record globally?
Volume$121k
Liquidity$36k
Trades1,814
Closes in91 days
Price history
YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%05:0010:2915:5921:2902:5970%30%
OutcomePrice
Market Status
Reality.eth·bonds in USDCTradingNow
Closesin 91 days
Answerafter close
Challenge0d window
Resolved
How this market resolves
- Answer window after close
- 0 days
- Challenge window per answer
- 0 days
- Opening bond (est.)
- 360 USDC
- Each challenge
- at least 2× the last bond
- Arbitration possible from
- 2,879 USDC bond
- Answers first
- 0xc96a…a4c6
- Arbitrator
- Fenyx team
Activity
Latest trades first; click a column to sort| No trades yet. | |||||
Rules
Resolves Yes if Copernicus (C3S) declares 2026 the warmest calendar year in its ERA5 record.
- Oracle
- 0xc96a…a4c6
- Closes
- 15 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC
- Answer window / challenge window
- 0 days / 0 days
- Creator
- 0x4ef5…8207
- Arbitrator
- Fenyx team (default)
- Fees
- 2.0% LP·0.0% creator·0% protocol
- Created
- 14 Oct 2026, 05:06 UTC
- Market id
- #21·pool