ArbitrationPolkadot
Will Polkadot Hub DeFi TVL exceed $500M at the end of Q3 2026?
Volume$3.6k
Liquidity$5.7k
Trades22
Closed14 Oct 2026, 05:31 UTC
Price history
YesNo
0%25%50%75%100%05:0610:3416:0221:3002:5860%40%
OutcomePrice
Yes40¢
No60¢
Market Status
Reality.eth·bonds in USDCTrading14 Oct
Closes14 Oct
Answer53 USDC
ArbitrationSafe ruling
Resolved
Answer history (4)
- No ·0xc96a…a4c6·21h 26m ago53 USDC
- Yes ·0xe267…dfab·21h 26m ago106 USDC
- No ·0xc96a…a4c6·21h 26m ago211 USDC
- Yes ·0xe267…dfab·21h 26m ago (current answer)423 USDC
Bond toward arbitration threshold423 USDC / 423 USDC
Arbitration requested. The bond reached 423 USDC, so a participant paid the 53 USDC fee and asked the arbitrator (0xbbbb…a43a) to rule. Answering is frozen until the ruling.
Activity
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Rules
Resolves Yes if DefiLlama shows Polkadot Hub TVL above $500M on 30 Sep 2026 23:59 UTC.
- Oracle
- 0xc96a…a4c6
- Closes
- 14 Oct 2026, 05:31 UTC
- Answer window / challenge window
- 0 days / 2 days
- Creator
- 0x1a75…9c97
- Arbitrator
- 0xbbbb…a43a
- Fees
- 2.0% LP·0.0% creator·0% protocol
- Created
- 14 Oct 2026, 05:06 UTC
- Market id
- #8·pool