Contract Overview:This binary prediction market determines whether Grayscale Investments’ application for a spot Polkadot ($DOT) Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) will be approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) by December 31, 2025. The market taps into the crypto community’s interest in institutional adoption, Polkadot’s ecosystem, and Grayscale’s ETF ambitions, as highlighted in recent market news and X discussions. Outcome Options:<ul><li>Yes: The SEC officially approves Grayscale’s spot Polkadot ($DOT) ETF for listing and trading on a U.S. exchange by 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2025.</li><li>No: The SEC does not approve Grayscale’s spot Polkadot ($DOT) ETF by the specified date and time, or the application is rejected, withdrawn, or remains pending.</li></ul> Market Resolution Criteria:Resolution will use official SEC announcements, press releases, and filings available on the SEC’s website (<a href="http://www.sec.gov/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">www.sec.gov</a>) or major financial news outlets (e.g., Bloomberg, CNBC, Reuters) to confirm the approval status of Grayscale’s Polkadot ($DOT) ETF. The “spot Polkadot ETF” refers to the Grayscale Polkadot Trust (as mentioned in the web results) seeking to list on Nasdaq under the ticker “DOT.”

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Grayscale’s Polkadot ($DOT) ETF Approved by the SEC in 2025

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