Prediction Market Contract: Crypto Market Cap – Higher in Q2 2025 vs. Q1 2025 Contract Overview:This binary prediction market contract determines whether the total cryptocurrency market capitalization will be higher in Q2 2025 (April 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025) compared to Q1 2025 (January 1, 2025, to March 31, 2025). Participants predict one of two outcomes: "Yes" or "No." Binary Outcomes:<ul><li>Yes: The average daily total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies in Q2 2025 exceeds the average daily total market capitalization in Q1 2025.</li><li>No: The average daily total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies in Q2 2025 is equal to or lower than the average daily total market capitalization in Q1 2025.</li></ul> Market Calculation Method:The average market capitalization for each quarter will be calculated as the arithmetic mean of the daily closing values of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization, recorded at 23:59 UTC. This approach ensures a stable and reliable metric, accounting for market volatility over the respective periods. Data Source:The total cryptocurrency market capitalization will be sourced from CoinMarketCap’s historical records, a widely recognized and publicly accessible cryptocurrency data aggregator. If CoinMarketCap is unavailable or deemed unreliable, CoinGecko will serve as the fallback data source to ensure accuracy and transparency. Resolution Date and Process:The contract will resolve on or before July 7, 2025, allowing sufficient time to collect, verify, and analyze the data for Q1 2025 (January 1, 2025, to March 31, 2025) and Q2 2025 (April 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025). The resolution will be based on the comparison of the calculated averages for each quarter, as described above, using the specified data source. The outcome will be publicly verifiable via the historical data pages of the chosen source.

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Showdown: Crypto Market Higher in Q2 2025 than Q1 2025

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